Verde Clean Fuels Stock Performance

VGAS Stock   1.97  0.05  2.60%   
The entity has a beta of -0.0252, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Verde Clean are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Verde Clean is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Verde Clean Fuels has a negative expected return of -0.74%. Please make sure to validate Verde Clean's value at risk, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the Daily Balance Of Power and price action indicator , to decide if Verde Clean Fuels performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Verde Clean Fuels has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
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Begin Period Cash Flow28.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-854.9 K
Free Cash Flow-11.4 M

Verde Clean Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  334.00  in Verde Clean Fuels on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (137.00) from holding Verde Clean Fuels or give up 41.02% of portfolio value over 90 days. Verde Clean Fuels is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.5717% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 41% of stocks are less volatile than Verde, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Verde Clean is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.17 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.16 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Verde Clean Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Verde Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.97 90 days 1.97 
more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Verde Clean to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Verde Clean Fuels probability density function shows the probability of Verde Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Verde Clean Fuels has a beta of -0.0252. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Verde Clean are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Verde Clean Fuels is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Verde Clean Fuels has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Verde Clean Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Verde Clean

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Verde Clean Fuels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.102.016.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.316.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.906.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.732.162.58
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Verde Clean. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Verde Clean's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Verde Clean's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Verde Clean Fuels.

Verde Clean Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Verde Clean is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Verde Clean's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Verde Clean Fuels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Verde Clean within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.71
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Verde Clean Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Verde Clean for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Verde Clean Fuels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Verde Clean Fuels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Verde Clean Fuels may become a speculative penny stock
Verde Clean Fuels has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Verde Clean Fuels has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (10.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Verde Clean generates negative cash flow from operations
Verde Clean Fuels has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 81.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Verde Clean Fuels Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

Verde Clean Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Verde Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Verde Clean's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verde Clean's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments19 M

Verde Clean Fundamentals Growth

Verde Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Verde Clean, and Verde Clean fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Verde Stock performance.

About Verde Clean Performance

Assessing Verde Clean's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Verde Clean's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Verde Clean is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.14)(0.15)
Return On Capital Employed(0.51)(0.53)
Return On Assets(0.14)(0.13)
Return On Equity(0.37)(0.36)

Things to note about Verde Clean Fuels performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Verde Clean for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Verde Clean Fuels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Verde Clean Fuels generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Verde Clean Fuels may become a speculative penny stock
Verde Clean Fuels has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Verde Clean Fuels has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (10.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Verde Clean generates negative cash flow from operations
Verde Clean Fuels has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 81.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Verde Clean Fuels Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans
Evaluating Verde Clean's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Verde Clean's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Verde Clean's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Verde Clean's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Verde Clean's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Verde Clean's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Verde Clean's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Verde Clean's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Verde Clean's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Verde Clean's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Verde Clean's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Verde Stock Analysis

When running Verde Clean's price analysis, check to measure Verde Clean's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Verde Clean is operating at the current time. Most of Verde Clean's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Verde Clean's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Verde Clean's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Verde Clean to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.